The Starmer government is in acute crisis. Communities minister Miatta Fahnbulleh resigned yesterday, becoming the first minister to quit and explicitly calling on the Prime Minister to stand down. Cabinet ministers are reportedly pressing Starmer to consider his position, the parliamentary Labour party mood is described as “pretty ugly,” and Darren Jones, chief secretary to the Treasury, declined twice this morning to confirm whether Starmer intends to lead Labour into the next election. The FT reports Starmer is weighing whether his premiership can be saved.

Bond markets have noticed. The 30-year gilt yield has risen to its highest level this century, with the FT attributing the move directly to the leadership uncertainty. Reeves’ allies are signalling she should remain as Chancellor even if Starmer goes, with the explicit concern being that a full leadership contest would further unsettle an already jittery gilt market. Anyone with duration exposure in sterling rates needs to watch how today develops.

On the trade front, the Economist flags that the Iran crisis is pushing up petrol prices and creating supply disruption in plastics and petrochemicals. Separately, the Economist’s annual defence spending ranking shows that by at least one measure US allies now collectively outspend Washington on defence — the biggest such shift since 2001. Both data points are relevant for energy and defence positioning.

Trump’s visit to China is being described as the most significant US-China summit in years. No detailed terms have emerged yet, but the framing from multiple outlets is that the meeting could set the tone for superpower relations for an extended period. Watch for any joint statement language on tariffs or Taiwan.

On tech, GM has laid off hundreds of IT workers and is explicitly replacing them with staff carrying AI-native skills — data engineering, agent development, prompt engineering. It is one of the cleaner real-world examples of AI-driven workforce restructuring at scale inside a traditional industrial company, and it will not be the last.

The cabinet meeting today is the immediate thing to watch. If further ministerial resignations follow or Starmer announces a departure timeline, expect further pressure on gilts and sterling.


Sources

Guardian, FT, BBC News, Al Jazeera, TechCrunch, Ars Technica, Politico, The Economist — 2026-05-12